EdgeTake

1B · TOR

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Total Bases
82
Per Game
1.39
Projection
1.35
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 59 games this season, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) is averaging 1.39 total bases per game, with recent form ahead of that at 1.6 over the last 10. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 34% of games this season. Our projection of 1.35 comes in under the market line of 1.67.

Next matchup

Next: @ ATL — their staff ranks 2 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 1.5 -154 at Caesars — model 61% to hit, +0.9% EV.

Over 1.5 +116 CaesarsUnder 1.5 -154 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went over in 20 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 1.35 vs market line 1.67 — edge -0.32.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.538/5964%
1.520/5934%
2.512/5920%
3.57/5912%

Share of 2026 games Jr. finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.60
Season avg
1.39

Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (28)
1.29
Away (31)
1.48
Home edge
-0.20

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs ATH1Under
2026-03-28vs ATH1Under
2026-03-29vs ATH2Over
2026-03-30vs COL0Under
2026-03-31vs COL2Over
2026-04-01vs COL0Under
2026-04-02vs CWS1Under
2026-04-04vs CWS4Over
2026-04-05vs CWS1Under
2026-04-06vs LAD0Under
2026-04-07vs LAD0Under
2026-04-08vs LAD3Over
2026-04-10vs MIN5Over
2026-04-11vs MIN2Over
2026-04-12vs MIN1Under
2026-04-14vs MIL3Over
2026-04-15vs MIL1Under
2026-04-16vs MIL1Under
2026-04-18vs AZ1Under
2026-04-19vs AZ1Under
2026-04-19vs AZ4Over
2026-04-21vs LAA6Over
2026-04-22vs LAA1Under
2026-04-22vs LAA0Under
2026-04-24vs CLE0Under
2026-04-25vs CLE1Under
2026-04-26vs CLE4Over
2026-04-27vs BOS0Under
2026-04-28vs BOS3Over
2026-04-29vs BOS3Over
2026-04-30vs MIN1Under
2026-05-02vs MIN0Under
2026-05-02vs MIN0Under
2026-05-03vs MIN2Over
2026-05-04vs TB1Under
2026-05-05vs TB0Under
2026-05-06vs TB0Under
2026-05-08vs LAA0Under
2026-05-09vs LAA2Over
2026-05-10vs LAA0Under
2026-05-11vs TB0Under
2026-05-12vs TB1Under
2026-05-13vs TB0Under
2026-05-15vs DET0Under
2026-05-16vs DET0Under
2026-05-17vs DET5Over
2026-05-18vs NYY1Under
2026-05-19vs NYY0Under
2026-05-20vs NYY1Under
2026-05-21vs NYY1Under
2026-05-22vs PIT1Under
2026-05-23vs PIT2Over
2026-05-24vs PIT0Under
2026-05-27vs MIA2Over
2026-05-28vs BAL0Under
2026-05-29vs BAL3Over
2026-05-30vs BAL5Over
2026-05-31vs BAL0Under
2026-06-02vs ATL2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.