EdgeTake

LF · LAA

Wade Meckler — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
10
Home Runs
2
Per Game
0.20
Projection
0.17
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 10 games this season, Wade Meckler (LAA) is averaging 0.2 home runs per game, with the last 10 steady at 0.2. The over on 0.5 has hit in 20% of games. We project 0.17, short of the 1.08 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +700 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Wade Meckler went over in 2 of 10 2026 games.

Our projection 0.17 vs market line 1.08 — edge -0.91.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/1020%

Share of 2026 games Meckler finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.20

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.25
Away (6)
0.17
Home edge
+0.08

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-05-23vs TEX1Over
2026-05-24vs TEX0Under
2026-05-24vs TEX0Under
2026-05-26vs DET0Under
2026-05-27vs DET0Under
2026-05-28vs DET0Under
2026-05-29vs TB0Under
2026-05-30vs TB1Over
2026-05-31vs TB0Under
2026-06-03vs COL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Wade Meckler’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.