EdgeTake

RF · DET

Wenceel Pérez — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
46
Hits
25
Per Game
0.54
Projection
0.61
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 46 games this season, Wenceel Pérez (DET) is averaging 0.54 hits per game, with recent form ahead of that at 0.7 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 43% of those games. Our model projects 0.61, below the market line of 0.71.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +130 at BetMGM — model 48% to hit, +10.7% EV.

Over 0.5 -152 BetRiversUnder 0.5 +130 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Wenceel Pérez went over in 20 of 46 2026 games.

Our projection 0.61 vs market line 0.71 — edge -0.1.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.520/4643%
1.55/4611%
2.50/460%

Share of 2026 games Pérez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.70
Season avg
0.54

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (23)
0.48
Away (23)
0.61
Home edge
-0.13

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-10vs MIA0Under
2026-04-11vs MIA0Under
2026-04-14vs KC0Under
2026-04-15vs KC1Over
2026-04-16vs KC0Under
2026-04-17vs BOS0Under
2026-04-18vs BOS0Under
2026-04-19vs BOS0Under
2026-04-20vs BOS0Under
2026-04-21vs MIL1Over
2026-04-22vs MIL0Under
2026-04-23vs MIL0Under
2026-04-25vs CIN2Over
2026-04-26vs CIN0Under
2026-04-28vs ATL1Over
2026-04-29vs ATL1Over
2026-04-30vs ATL0Under
2026-05-01vs TEX1Over
2026-05-02vs TEX2Over
2026-05-03vs TEX0Under
2026-05-04vs BOS0Under
2026-05-05vs BOS1Over
2026-05-06vs BOS0Under
2026-05-08vs KC2Over
2026-05-09vs KC0Under
2026-05-10vs KC1Over
2026-05-12vs NYM1Over
2026-05-13vs NYM0Under
2026-05-14vs NYM1Over
2026-05-16vs TOR0Under
2026-05-17vs TOR1Over
2026-05-18vs CLE0Under
2026-05-19vs CLE1Over
2026-05-20vs CLE0Under
2026-05-21vs CLE0Under
2026-05-22vs BAL1Over
2026-05-23vs BAL1Over
2026-05-24vs BAL0Under
2026-05-26vs LAA1Over
2026-05-27vs LAA0Under
2026-05-28vs LAA2Over
2026-05-29vs CWS0Under
2026-05-30vs CWS1Over
2026-05-31vs CWS0Under
2026-06-01vs TB0Under
2026-06-02vs TB2Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Wenceel Pérez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.