EdgeTake

3B · BAL

Weston Wilson — Home Runs

2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
18
Home Runs
1
Per Game
0.06
Projection
0.1
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Weston Wilson (BAL) sits at 0.06 home runs per game through 18 games, trending up to 0.1 across the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 6% of those games. Our model projects 0.1, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +750 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Weston Wilson went over in 1 of 18 2026 games.

Our projection 0.1 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.4.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/186%

Share of 2026 games Wilson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.06

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (10)
0.00
Away (8)
0.13
Home edge
-0.13

Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs

DateOppHome Runsvs Line
2026-04-15vs AZ0Under
2026-04-17vs CLE0Under
2026-04-19vs CLE0Under
2026-04-20vs KC0Under
2026-04-21vs KC0Under
2026-04-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-02vs NYY0Under
2026-05-03vs NYY0Under
2026-05-08vs ATH0Under
2026-05-10vs ATH0Under
2026-05-11vs NYY0Under
2026-05-13vs NYY0Under
2026-05-18vs TB1Over
2026-05-20vs TB0Under
2026-05-24vs DET0Under
2026-05-25vs TB0Under
2026-05-27vs TB0Under
2026-05-28vs TOR0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Weston Wilson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.