EdgeTake

3B · BAL

Weston Wilson — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
18
Runs
6
Per Game
0.33
Projection
0.36
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Weston Wilson (BAL) sits at 0.33 runs per game through 18 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.1. 33% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.36 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ BOS — their staff ranks 8 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +197 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -281 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Weston Wilson went over in 6 of 18 2026 games.

Our projection 0.36 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.14.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.56/1833%
1.50/180%

Share of 2026 games Wilson finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.33

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (10)
0.10
Away (8)
0.63
Home edge
-0.53

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-04-15vs AZ1Over
2026-04-17vs CLE1Over
2026-04-19vs CLE0Under
2026-04-20vs KC1Over
2026-04-21vs KC1Over
2026-04-29vs HOU0Under
2026-05-02vs NYY0Under
2026-05-03vs NYY1Over
2026-05-08vs ATH0Under
2026-05-10vs ATH0Under
2026-05-11vs NYY0Under
2026-05-13vs NYY0Under
2026-05-18vs TB1Over
2026-05-20vs TB0Under
2026-05-24vs DET0Under
2026-05-25vs TB0Under
2026-05-27vs TB0Under
2026-05-28vs TOR0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Weston Wilson’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.