EdgeTake

LF · SF

Will Brennan — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
11
Hits
2
Per Game
0.18
Projection
0.39
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Will Brennan (SF) sits at 0.18 hits per game through 11 games, with recent form ahead of that at 0.2 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 18% of games. Our projection of 0.39 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -139 at DraftKings — model 44% to hit, -25.0% EV.

Over 0.5 -139 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +110 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (betmgm), Will Brennan went over in 2 of 11 2026 games.

Our projection 0.39 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.11.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.52/1118%
1.50/110%
2.50/110%

Share of 2026 games Brennan finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.18

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.25
Away (7)
0.14
Home edge
+0.11

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-04-15vs CIN0Under
2026-04-16vs CIN0Under
2026-04-23vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs PHI0Under
2026-05-01vs TB0Under
2026-05-19vs AZ1Over
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-20vs AZ0Under
2026-05-24vs CWS1Over
2026-05-27vs AZ0Under
2026-05-27vs AZ0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Will Brennan’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.