EdgeTake

C · LAD

Will Smith — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
49
Hits
41
Per Game
0.84
Projection
0.95
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Will Smith (LAD) sits at 0.84 hits per game through 49 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.7 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 59% of games this season. Our projection of 0.95 sits above the market line of 0.8.

Next matchup

Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +157 at DraftKings — model 38% to hit, -2.8% EV.

Over 0.5 -198 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 +157 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Will Smith went over in 29 of 49 2026 games.

Our projection 0.95 vs market line 0.8 — edge +0.15.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.529/4959%
1.59/4918%
2.53/496%

Share of 2026 games Smith finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.70
Season avg
0.84

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (27)
0.85
Away (22)
0.82
Home edge
+0.03

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs AZ2Over
2026-03-28vs AZ0Under
2026-03-29vs AZ1Over
2026-03-31vs CLE0Under
2026-04-01vs CLE1Over
2026-04-02vs CLE0Under
2026-04-03vs WSH1Over
2026-04-04vs WSH3Over
2026-04-05vs WSH0Under
2026-04-07vs TOR0Under
2026-04-08vs TOR2Over
2026-04-11vs TEX1Over
2026-04-12vs TEX2Over
2026-04-12vs TEX0Under
2026-04-14vs NYM1Over
2026-04-15vs NYM1Over
2026-04-16vs NYM1Over
2026-04-18vs COL2Over
2026-04-19vs COL1Over
2026-04-19vs COL1Over
2026-04-21vs COL0Under
2026-04-22vs SF0Under
2026-04-23vs SF0Under
2026-04-25vs CHC1Over
2026-04-28vs MIA0Under
2026-04-29vs MIA3Over
2026-04-29vs MIA0Under
2026-05-02vs STL1Over
2026-05-02vs STL0Under
2026-05-05vs HOU3Over
2026-05-06vs HOU0Under
2026-05-09vs ATL0Under
2026-05-10vs ATL1Over
2026-05-12vs SF2Over
2026-05-13vs SF0Under
2026-05-14vs SF0Under
2026-05-15vs SF1Over
2026-05-16vs LAA1Over
2026-05-17vs LAA1Over
2026-05-19vs SD0Under
2026-05-20vs SD0Under
2026-05-21vs SD1Over
2026-05-23vs MIL1Over
2026-05-26vs COL0Under
2026-05-27vs COL2Over
2026-05-28vs COL1Over
2026-05-30vs PHI1Over
2026-05-31vs PHI1Over
2026-06-02vs AZ0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Will Smith’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.