C · LAD
Will Smith — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Will Smith (LAD) sits at 0.45 runs per game through 49 games, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.6. The over on 0.5 has hit in 37% of games. We project 0.59, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: @ AZ — their staff ranks 15 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Will Smith went over in 18 of 49 2026 games.
Our projection 0.59 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.09.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 18/49 | 37% |
| 1.5 | 4/49 | 8% |
Share of 2026 games Smith finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-02 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs WSH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-05 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs TOR | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-27 | vs COL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Will Smith’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.