EdgeTake

2B · COL

Willi Castro — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
50
Stolen Bases
4
Per Game
0.08
Projection
0.07
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 50 games this season, Willi Castro (COL) is averaging 0.08 stolen bases per game, and the last 10 have been hotter at 0.1. They've gone over 0.5 in 8% of those games. Our model projects 0.07, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs MIL — their staff ranks 3 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +700 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Willi Castro went over in 4 of 50 2026 games.

Our projection 0.07 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.43.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/508%

Share of 2026 games Castro finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.10
Season avg
0.08

Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (24)
0.08
Away (26)
0.08
Home edge
+0.01

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs MIA0Under
2026-03-28vs MIA0Under
2026-03-29vs MIA0Under
2026-03-30vs TOR0Under
2026-03-31vs TOR0Under
2026-04-01vs TOR0Under
2026-04-03vs PHI0Under
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-05vs PHI0Under
2026-04-07vs HOU0Under
2026-04-08vs HOU0Under
2026-04-10vs SD0Under
2026-04-11vs SD1Over
2026-04-12vs SD0Under
2026-04-15vs HOU0Under
2026-04-16vs HOU0Under
2026-04-19vs LAD1Over
2026-04-21vs LAD0Under
2026-04-22vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-23vs SD0Under
2026-04-29vs CIN0Under
2026-04-30vs CIN0Under
2026-05-02vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-03vs ATL0Under
2026-05-04vs NYM0Under
2026-05-06vs NYM0Under
2026-05-08vs PHI1Over
2026-05-09vs PHI0Under
2026-05-10vs PHI0Under
2026-05-12vs PIT0Under
2026-05-13vs PIT0Under
2026-05-14vs PIT0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-16vs AZ0Under
2026-05-17vs AZ0Under
2026-05-19vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-20vs TEX0Under
2026-05-22vs AZ0Under
2026-05-23vs AZ0Under
2026-05-26vs LAD0Under
2026-05-27vs LAD0Under
2026-05-28vs LAD0Under
2026-05-30vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SF0Under
2026-05-31vs SF1Over
2026-06-02vs LAA0Under
2026-06-03vs LAA0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Willi Castro’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.