EdgeTake

C · MIL

William Contreras — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
54
Hits
63
Per Game
1.17
Projection
1.29
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

William Contreras (MIL) sits at 1.17 hits per game through 54 games, with recent form ahead of that at 1.3 over the last 10. 76% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 1.29, ahead of the 0.71 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs SF — their staff ranks 24 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -286 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), William Contreras went over in 41 of 54 2026 games.

Our projection 1.29 vs market line 0.71 — edge +0.58.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.541/5476%
1.516/5430%
2.54/547%

Share of 2026 games Contreras finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.30
Season avg
1.17

Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (31)
1.16
Away (23)
1.17
Home edge
-0.01

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CWS1Over
2026-03-28vs CWS0Under
2026-03-29vs CWS1Over
2026-03-30vs TB2Over
2026-03-31vs TB0Under
2026-04-01vs TB2Over
2026-04-04vs KC1Over
2026-04-05vs KC2Over
2026-04-06vs BOS1Over
2026-04-07vs BOS1Over
2026-04-10vs WSH1Over
2026-04-11vs WSH1Over
2026-04-12vs WSH1Over
2026-04-14vs TOR2Over
2026-04-15vs TOR2Over
2026-04-16vs TOR2Over
2026-04-17vs MIA1Over
2026-04-18vs MIA0Under
2026-04-19vs MIA0Under
2026-04-21vs DET2Over
2026-04-22vs DET1Over
2026-04-23vs DET1Over
2026-04-24vs PIT0Under
2026-04-25vs PIT0Under
2026-04-26vs PIT1Over
2026-04-28vs AZ2Over
2026-04-29vs AZ0Under
2026-04-30vs AZ4Over
2026-05-01vs WSH4Over
2026-05-02vs WSH1Over
2026-05-03vs WSH0Under
2026-05-04vs STL1Over
2026-05-06vs STL0Under
2026-05-08vs NYY1Over
2026-05-09vs NYY2Over
2026-05-10vs NYY1Over
2026-05-12vs SD1Over
2026-05-13vs SD0Under
2026-05-14vs SD0Under
2026-05-15vs MIN1Over
2026-05-16vs MIN1Over
2026-05-17vs MIN2Over
2026-05-18vs CHC2Over
2026-05-19vs CHC1Over
2026-05-20vs CHC3Over
2026-05-22vs LAD3Over
2026-05-24vs LAD1Over
2026-05-25vs STL1Over
2026-05-26vs STL2Over
2026-05-27vs STL0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU0Under
2026-05-30vs HOU1Over
2026-06-01vs SF1Over
2026-06-02vs SF1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See William Contreras’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.