EdgeTake

1B · BOS

Willson Contreras — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
56
Stolen Bases
1
Per Game
0.02
Projection
0.04
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Willson Contreras (BOS) has averaged 0.02 stolen bases per game across 56 games this season, while recent form sits lower at 0 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 2% of games. Our projection of 0.04 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1280 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Willson Contreras went over in 1 of 56 2026 games.

Our projection 0.04 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.46.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/562%

Share of 2026 games Contreras finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.02

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (28)
0.04
Away (28)
0.00
Home edge
+0.04

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs CIN0Under
2026-03-28vs CIN0Under
2026-03-29vs CIN0Under
2026-03-31vs HOU0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-03vs SD0Under
2026-04-04vs SD0Under
2026-04-05vs SD0Under
2026-04-06vs MIL0Under
2026-04-07vs MIL0Under
2026-04-08vs MIL0Under
2026-04-11vs STL0Under
2026-04-11vs STL0Under
2026-04-12vs STL0Under
2026-04-13vs MIN0Under
2026-04-14vs MIN0Under
2026-04-17vs DET0Under
2026-04-18vs DET0Under
2026-04-19vs DET0Under
2026-04-20vs DET0Under
2026-04-21vs NYY0Under
2026-04-22vs NYY0Under
2026-04-23vs NYY0Under
2026-04-24vs BAL0Under
2026-04-25vs BAL0Under
2026-04-26vs BAL0Under
2026-04-27vs TOR0Under
2026-04-28vs TOR0Under
2026-04-29vs TOR0Under
2026-05-01vs HOU0Under
2026-05-02vs HOU0Under
2026-05-03vs HOU1Over
2026-05-04vs DET0Under
2026-05-05vs DET0Under
2026-05-06vs DET0Under
2026-05-07vs TB0Under
2026-05-08vs TB0Under
2026-05-10vs TB0Under
2026-05-13vs PHI0Under
2026-05-14vs PHI0Under
2026-05-15vs ATL0Under
2026-05-16vs ATL0Under
2026-05-17vs ATL0Under
2026-05-18vs KC0Under
2026-05-19vs KC0Under
2026-05-20vs KC0Under
2026-05-22vs MIN0Under
2026-05-23vs MIN0Under
2026-05-24vs MIN0Under
2026-05-26vs ATL0Under
2026-05-27vs ATL0Under
2026-05-28vs ATL0Under
2026-05-29vs CLE0Under
2026-05-30vs CLE0Under
2026-06-02vs BAL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Willson Contreras’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.