EdgeTake

SS · SD

Xander Bogaerts — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
57
Total Bases
76
Per Game
1.33
Projection
1.51
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Xander Bogaerts (SD) sits at 1.33 total bases per game through 57 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.9 over the last 10. The over on 0.5 has hit in 58% of games. Our projection of 1.51 sits above the market line of 1.38.

Next matchup

Next: @ PHI — their staff ranks 16 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -193 at Caesars — model 63% to hit, -4.8% EV.

Over 0.5 -193 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +145 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Xander Bogaerts went over in 33 of 57 2026 games.

Our projection 1.51 vs market line 1.38 — edge +0.13.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.533/5758%
1.518/5732%
2.512/5721%
3.59/5716%

Share of 2026 games Bogaerts finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
1.33

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
1.20
Away (27)
1.48
Home edge
-0.28

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs DET3Over
2026-03-28vs DET1Over
2026-03-29vs DET0Under
2026-03-31vs SF1Over
2026-04-01vs SF0Under
2026-04-01vs SF0Under
2026-04-03vs BOS0Under
2026-04-04vs BOS0Under
2026-04-05vs BOS4Over
2026-04-06vs PIT2Over
2026-04-07vs PIT4Over
2026-04-08vs PIT1Over
2026-04-10vs COL5Over
2026-04-11vs COL0Under
2026-04-12vs COL1Over
2026-04-15vs SEA3Over
2026-04-16vs SEA5Over
2026-04-17vs SEA0Under
2026-04-18vs LAA0Under
2026-04-19vs LAA1Over
2026-04-19vs LAA1Over
2026-04-22vs COL1Over
2026-04-23vs COL2Over
2026-04-23vs COL5Over
2026-04-25vs AZ0Under
2026-04-26vs AZ1Over
2026-04-28vs CHC2Over
2026-04-29vs CHC4Over
2026-04-29vs CHC0Under
2026-05-02vs CWS0Under
2026-05-03vs CWS0Under
2026-05-03vs CWS2Over
2026-05-05vs SF0Under
2026-05-06vs SF5Over
2026-05-06vs SF4Over
2026-05-08vs STL1Over
2026-05-09vs STL0Under
2026-05-09vs STL0Under
2026-05-10vs STL3Over
2026-05-12vs MIL1Over
2026-05-13vs MIL0Under
2026-05-14vs MIL0Under
2026-05-16vs SEA2Over
2026-05-16vs SEA1Over
2026-05-17vs SEA0Under
2026-05-19vs LAD1Over
2026-05-20vs LAD0Under
2026-05-21vs LAD0Under
2026-05-23vs ATH0Under
2026-05-24vs ATH2Over
2026-05-25vs PHI0Under
2026-05-27vs PHI1Over
2026-05-27vs PHI1Over
2026-05-29vs WSH0Under
2026-05-30vs WSH4Over
2026-05-31vs WSH1Over
2026-06-02vs PHI0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Xander Bogaerts’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.