EdgeTake

2B · MIA

Xavier Edwards — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
62
Runs
41
Per Game
0.66
Projection
0.5
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 62 games this season, Xavier Edwards (MIA) is averaging 0.66 runs per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.4. 55% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 0.5, roughly in line with the 0.5 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs TB — their staff ranks 14 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +125 BetMGMUnder 0.5 -161 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Xavier Edwards went over in 34 of 62 2026 games.

Our projection 0.5 vs market line 0.5 — edge 0.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.534/6255%
1.55/628%

Share of 2026 games Edwards finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.40
Season avg
0.66

Over 0.5 in 4 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (33)
0.67
Away (29)
0.66
Home edge
+0.01

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-03-27vs COL1Over
2026-03-28vs COL1Over
2026-03-29vs COL1Over
2026-03-30vs CWS1Over
2026-03-31vs CWS1Over
2026-04-01vs CWS1Over
2026-04-03vs NYY1Over
2026-04-04vs NYY2Over
2026-04-05vs NYY0Under
2026-04-06vs CIN0Under
2026-04-07vs CIN0Under
2026-04-08vs CIN1Over
2026-04-09vs CIN1Over
2026-04-10vs DET0Under
2026-04-11vs DET0Under
2026-04-12vs DET0Under
2026-04-13vs ATL3Over
2026-04-14vs ATL0Under
2026-04-15vs ATL0Under
2026-04-17vs MIL2Over
2026-04-18vs MIL0Under
2026-04-19vs MIL1Over
2026-04-20vs STL0Under
2026-04-21vs STL1Over
2026-04-22vs STL0Under
2026-04-25vs SF1Over
2026-04-25vs SF0Under
2026-04-26vs SF1Over
2026-04-28vs LAD1Over
2026-04-29vs LAD0Under
2026-04-29vs LAD1Over
2026-05-01vs PHI0Under
2026-05-02vs PHI1Over
2026-05-03vs PHI0Under
2026-05-04vs PHI0Under
2026-05-05vs BAL1Over
2026-05-06vs BAL0Under
2026-05-07vs BAL0Under
2026-05-08vs WSH1Over
2026-05-09vs WSH1Over
2026-05-10vs WSH1Over
2026-05-12vs MIN0Under
2026-05-13vs MIN3Over
2026-05-14vs MIN1Over
2026-05-15vs TB0Under
2026-05-16vs TB1Over
2026-05-17vs TB1Over
2026-05-18vs ATL2Over
2026-05-19vs ATL1Over
2026-05-20vs ATL1Over
2026-05-21vs ATL0Under
2026-05-22vs NYM0Under
2026-05-23vs NYM0Under
2026-05-24vs NYM1Over
2026-05-25vs TOR1Over
2026-05-26vs TOR0Under
2026-05-27vs TOR1Over
2026-05-29vs NYM1Over
2026-05-30vs NYM0Under
2026-05-31vs NYM0Under
2026-06-01vs WSH0Under
2026-06-02vs WSH0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Xavier Edwards’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.