EdgeTake

DH · TB

Yandy Díaz — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
55
Hits
66
Per Game
1.20
Projection
1.03
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Yandy Díaz (TB) sits at 1.2 hits per game through 55 games, with the last 10 steady at 1.1. 75% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our model projects 1.03, below the market line of 1.18.

Next matchup

Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Under 0.5 +197 at DraftKings — model 34% to hit, +1.2% EV.

Over 0.5 -235 BetMGMUnder 0.5 +197 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Yandy Díaz went over in 41 of 55 2026 games.

Our projection 1.03 vs market line 1.18 — edge -0.15.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.541/5575%
1.517/5531%
2.55/559%

Share of 2026 games Díaz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.10
Season avg
1.20

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
1.23
Away (29)
1.17
Home edge
+0.06

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs STL3Over
2026-03-28vs STL1Over
2026-03-29vs STL5Over
2026-03-30vs MIL2Over
2026-03-31vs MIL0Under
2026-04-01vs MIL1Over
2026-04-03vs MIN1Over
2026-04-04vs MIN1Over
2026-04-05vs MIN1Over
2026-04-06vs CHC2Over
2026-04-07vs CHC0Under
2026-04-08vs CHC0Under
2026-04-10vs NYY2Over
2026-04-11vs NYY1Over
2026-04-12vs NYY1Over
2026-04-14vs CWS2Over
2026-04-15vs CWS1Over
2026-04-16vs CWS2Over
2026-04-17vs PIT1Over
2026-04-18vs PIT1Over
2026-04-19vs PIT0Under
2026-04-20vs CIN0Under
2026-04-21vs CIN1Over
2026-04-22vs CIN3Over
2026-04-24vs MIN1Over
2026-04-25vs MIN1Over
2026-04-26vs MIN1Over
2026-04-27vs CLE0Under
2026-04-28vs CLE1Over
2026-04-29vs CLE2Over
2026-05-01vs SF1Over
2026-05-04vs TOR0Under
2026-05-05vs TOR1Over
2026-05-06vs TOR1Over
2026-05-07vs BOS2Over
2026-05-08vs BOS0Under
2026-05-10vs BOS1Over
2026-05-11vs TOR0Under
2026-05-12vs TOR0Under
2026-05-13vs TOR2Over
2026-05-15vs MIA1Over
2026-05-16vs MIA1Over
2026-05-17vs MIA1Over
2026-05-18vs BAL4Over
2026-05-19vs BAL2Over
2026-05-22vs NYY0Under
2026-05-24vs NYY2Over
2026-05-25vs BAL1Over
2026-05-26vs BAL1Over
2026-05-27vs BAL0Under
2026-05-29vs LAA2Over
2026-05-30vs LAA2Over
2026-05-31vs LAA0Under
2026-06-01vs DET3Over
2026-06-02vs DET0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Yandy Díaz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.