DH · TB
Yandy Díaz — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 55 games this season, Yandy Díaz (TB) is averaging 0.56 runs per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.4. The over on 0.5 has hit in 44% of games. Our model projects 0.47, below the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ MIA — their staff ranks 19 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Yandy Díaz went over in 24 of 55 2026 games.
Our projection 0.47 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.03.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 24/55 | 44% |
| 1.5 | 5/55 | 9% |
Share of 2026 games Díaz finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-30 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs MIL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs MIL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-03 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-16 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs PIT | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-20 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-27 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-01 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-04 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-11 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs BAL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Yandy Díaz’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.