EdgeTake

DH · HOU

Yordan Alvarez — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
61
Stolen Bases
1
Per Game
0.02
Projection
0.03
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Yordan Alvarez (HOU) has averaged 0.02 stolen bases per game across 61 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 2% of games. Our projection of 0.03 comes in under the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +1400 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Yordan Alvarez went over in 1 of 61 2026 games.

Our projection 0.03 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.47.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.51/612%

Share of 2026 games Alvarez finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.02

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (30)
0.03
Away (31)
0.00
Home edge
+0.03

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs LAA0Under
2026-03-28vs LAA0Under
2026-03-28vs LAA0Under
2026-03-29vs LAA1Over
2026-03-31vs BOS0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS0Under
2026-04-01vs BOS0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-04vs ATH0Under
2026-04-05vs ATH0Under
2026-04-07vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-08vs COL0Under
2026-04-11vs SEA0Under
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-04-12vs SEA0Under
2026-04-13vs SEA0Under
2026-04-15vs COL0Under
2026-04-16vs COL0Under
2026-04-17vs COL0Under
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-04-18vs STL0Under
2026-04-19vs STL0Under
2026-04-20vs CLE0Under
2026-04-21vs CLE0Under
2026-04-22vs CLE0Under
2026-04-25vs NYY0Under
2026-04-25vs NYY0Under
2026-04-26vs NYY0Under
2026-04-28vs BAL0Under
2026-04-29vs BAL0Under
2026-04-30vs BAL0Under
2026-05-01vs BOS0Under
2026-05-02vs BOS0Under
2026-05-03vs BOS0Under
2026-05-05vs LAD0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-08vs CIN0Under
2026-05-09vs CIN0Under
2026-05-10vs CIN0Under
2026-05-12vs SEA0Under
2026-05-13vs SEA0Under
2026-05-14vs SEA0Under
2026-05-14vs SEA0Under
2026-05-16vs TEX0Under
2026-05-16vs TEX0Under
2026-05-17vs TEX0Under
2026-05-18vs MIN0Under
2026-05-19vs MIN0Under
2026-05-20vs MIN0Under
2026-05-22vs CHC0Under
2026-05-23vs CHC0Under
2026-05-25vs TEX0Under
2026-05-27vs TEX0Under
2026-05-28vs TEX0Under
2026-05-29vs TEX0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-30vs MIL0Under
2026-05-31vs MIL0Under
2026-06-03vs PIT0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Yordan Alvarez’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.