LF · HOU
Zach Cole — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Zach Cole (HOU) sits at 0.17 home runs per game through 18 games, with the last 10 dipping to 0.1. 17% of those games have finished over 0.5. We project 0.14, short of the 0.93 market line.
Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Zach Cole went over in 3 of 18 2026 games.
Our projection 0.14 vs market line 0.93 — edge -0.79.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 3/18 | 17% |
Share of 2026 games Cole finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Zach Cole’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.