EdgeTake

LF · HOU

Zach Dezenzo — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
19
Runs
5
Per Game
0.26
Projection
0.43
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Zach Dezenzo (HOU) has averaged 0.26 runs per game across 19 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 0.3 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 26% of those games. Our model projects 0.43, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs PIT — their staff ranks 13 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +199 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -284 DraftKings

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Zach Dezenzo went over in 5 of 19 2026 games.

Our projection 0.43 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.07.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.55/1926%
1.50/190%

Share of 2026 games Dezenzo finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.30
Season avg
0.26

Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (8)
0.13
Away (11)
0.36
Home edge
-0.24

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-05-06vs LAD0Under
2026-05-08vs CIN1Over
2026-05-09vs CIN0Under
2026-05-10vs CIN0Under
2026-05-12vs SEA0Under
2026-05-13vs SEA1Over
2026-05-14vs SEA0Under
2026-05-16vs TEX0Under
2026-05-16vs TEX0Under
2026-05-17vs TEX0Under
2026-05-18vs MIN0Under
2026-05-19vs MIN0Under
2026-05-20vs MIN1Over
2026-05-23vs CHC0Under
2026-05-24vs CHC1Over
2026-05-25vs TEX1Over
2026-05-27vs TEX0Under
2026-05-29vs TEX0Under
2026-05-31vs MIL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Zach Dezenzo’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.