2B · DET
Zach McKinstry — Hits
2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Zach McKinstry (DET) has averaged 0.46 hits per game across 39 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.1. The over on 0.5 has hit in 41% of games. Our model projects 0.47, below the market line of 0.66.
Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 -119 at DraftKings — model 57% to hit, +4.4% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Zach McKinstry went over in 16 of 39 2026 games.
Our projection 0.47 vs market line 0.66 — edge -0.19.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 16/39 | 41% |
| 1.5 | 2/39 | 5% |
| 2.5 | 0/39 | 0% |
Share of 2026 games McKinstry finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Hits
| Date | Opp | Hits | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Zach McKinstry’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.