2B · DET
Zach McKinstry — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Zach McKinstry (DET) sits at 0.62 total bases per game through 39 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.1 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 41% of those games. We project 0.84, about even with the market line of 0.86.
Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 0.5 -120 at BetMGM — model 52% to hit, -5.4% EV.
At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Zach McKinstry went over in 16 of 39 2026 games.
Our projection 0.84 vs market line 0.86 — edge -0.02.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 16/39 | 41% |
| 1.5 | 5/39 | 13% |
| 2.5 | 1/39 | 3% |
| 3.5 | 1/39 | 3% |
Share of 2026 games McKinstry finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-01 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs STL | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-06 | vs MIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs MIN | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs MIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs MIA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-15 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs TOR | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-18 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-29 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs TB | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TB | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Zach McKinstry’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.