EdgeTake

SS · LAA

Zach Neto — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
60
Total Bases
100
Per Game
1.67
Projection
2.12
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 60 games this season, Zach Neto (LAA) is averaging 1.67 total bases per game, with recent form ahead of that at 2.1 over the last 10. They've gone over 1.5 in 40% of those games. Our projection of 2.12 sits above the market line of 1.46.

Next matchup

Next: @ LAD — their staff ranks 1 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +123 at BetRivers — model 46% to hit, +2.2% EV.

Over 1.5 +123 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -152 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Zach Neto went over in 24 of 60 2026 games.

Our projection 2.12 vs market line 1.46 — edge +0.66.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.538/6063%
1.524/6040%
2.516/6027%
3.511/6018%

Share of 2026 games Neto finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.10
Season avg
1.67

Over 1.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (28)
1.68
Away (32)
1.66
Home edge
+0.02

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-26vs HOU0Under
2026-03-28vs HOU6Over
2026-03-28vs HOU0Under
2026-03-29vs HOU4Over
2026-03-30vs CHC1Under
2026-03-31vs CHC0Under
2026-04-01vs CHC2Over
2026-04-04vs SEA0Under
2026-04-05vs SEA5Over
2026-04-05vs SEA2Over
2026-04-07vs ATL4Over
2026-04-08vs ATL1Under
2026-04-08vs ATL1Under
2026-04-10vs CIN5Over
2026-04-11vs CIN3Over
2026-04-12vs CIN0Under
2026-04-13vs NYY1Under
2026-04-14vs NYY0Under
2026-04-15vs NYY2Over
2026-04-16vs NYY1Under
2026-04-18vs SD2Over
2026-04-19vs SD2Over
2026-04-19vs SD0Under
2026-04-21vs TOR1Under
2026-04-22vs TOR0Under
2026-04-22vs TOR2Over
2026-04-24vs KC1Under
2026-04-25vs KC0Under
2026-04-26vs KC5Over
2026-04-27vs CWS1Under
2026-04-28vs CWS1Under
2026-04-29vs CWS0Under
2026-05-02vs NYM0Under
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-03vs NYM0Under
2026-05-05vs CWS0Under
2026-05-06vs CWS5Over
2026-05-06vs CWS3Over
2026-05-08vs TOR1Under
2026-05-09vs TOR1Under
2026-05-10vs TOR2Over
2026-05-11vs CLE1Under
2026-05-12vs CLE0Under
2026-05-13vs CLE5Over
2026-05-16vs LAD1Under
2026-05-17vs LAD1Under
2026-05-17vs LAD0Under
2026-05-19vs ATH4Over
2026-05-20vs ATH2Over
2026-05-21vs ATH0Under
2026-05-22vs ATH0Under
2026-05-23vs TEX8Over
2026-05-24vs TEX3Over
2026-05-24vs TEX0Under
2026-05-26vs DET4Over
2026-05-27vs DET0Under
2026-05-28vs DET3Over
2026-05-29vs TB3Over
2026-05-30vs TB0Under
2026-05-31vs TB0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Zach Neto’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.