3B · ATH
Zack Gelof — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 40 games this season, Zack Gelof (ATH) is averaging 0.48 runs per game, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.2. They've gone over 0.5 in 38% of those games. Our projection of 0.46 comes in under the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Zack Gelof went over in 15 of 40 2026 games.
Our projection 0.46 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.04.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 15/40 | 38% |
| 1.5 | 4/40 | 10% |
Share of 2026 games Gelof finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-21 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CLE | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-05 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PHI | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs BAL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-09 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-26 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Zack Gelof’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.