EdgeTake

3B · ATH

Zack Gelof — Stolen Bases

2026 stolen bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
40
Stolen Bases
5
Per Game
0.13
Projection
0.07
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Zack Gelof (ATH) has averaged 0.13 stolen bases per game across 40 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0. The over on 0.5 has hit in 10% of games. Our model projects 0.07, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +550 FanDuel

At a line of 0.5 (fanduel), Zack Gelof went over in 4 of 40 2026 games.

Our projection 0.07 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.43.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.54/4010%

Share of 2026 games Gelof finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.00
Season avg
0.13

Over 0.5 in 0 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
0.09
Away (18)
0.17
Home edge
-0.08

Per-game stolen bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Stolen Bases

DateOppStolen Basesvs Line
2026-04-14vs TEX0Under
2026-04-15vs TEX0Under
2026-04-18vs CWS0Under
2026-04-18vs CWS0Under
2026-04-19vs CWS0Under
2026-04-21vs SEA0Under
2026-04-22vs SEA0Under
2026-04-25vs TEX0Under
2026-04-25vs TEX0Under
2026-04-29vs KC1Over
2026-04-30vs KC0Under
2026-04-30vs KC0Under
2026-05-02vs CLE0Under
2026-05-03vs CLE0Under
2026-05-05vs PHI0Under
2026-05-06vs PHI0Under
2026-05-07vs PHI0Under
2026-05-08vs BAL0Under
2026-05-09vs BAL0Under
2026-05-10vs BAL0Under
2026-05-13vs STL0Under
2026-05-14vs STL0Under
2026-05-14vs STL0Under
2026-05-16vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs SF1Over
2026-05-19vs LAA1Over
2026-05-20vs LAA0Under
2026-05-21vs LAA0Under
2026-05-22vs LAA2Over
2026-05-23vs SD0Under
2026-05-24vs SD0Under
2026-05-24vs SD0Under
2026-05-26vs SEA0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-30vs NYY0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY0Under
2026-05-31vs NYY0Under
2026-06-03vs CHC0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Zack Gelof’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.