EdgeTake

3B · ATH

Zack Gelof — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
40
Total Bases
61
Per Game
1.52
Projection
1.44
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 40 games this season, Zack Gelof (ATH) is averaging 1.53 total bases per game, and the last 10 hold near that at 1.4. They've gone over 0.5 in 68% of those games. We project 1.44, ahead of the 0.89 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 0.5 -159 at Caesars — model 60% to hit, -2.4% EV.

Over 0.5 -159 CaesarsUnder 0.5 +119 Caesars

At a line of 0.5 (williamhill_us), Zack Gelof went over in 27 of 40 2026 games.

Our projection 1.44 vs market line 0.89 — edge +0.55.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.527/4068%
1.514/4035%
2.57/4018%
3.56/4015%

Share of 2026 games Gelof finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
1.40
Season avg
1.52

Over 0.5 in 8 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (22)
1.45
Away (18)
1.61
Home edge
-0.16

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-04-14vs TEX0Under
2026-04-15vs TEX0Under
2026-04-18vs CWS0Under
2026-04-18vs CWS1Over
2026-04-19vs CWS2Over
2026-04-21vs SEA0Under
2026-04-22vs SEA1Over
2026-04-25vs TEX5Over
2026-04-25vs TEX0Under
2026-04-29vs KC2Over
2026-04-30vs KC0Under
2026-04-30vs KC1Over
2026-05-02vs CLE1Over
2026-05-03vs CLE4Over
2026-05-05vs PHI1Over
2026-05-06vs PHI2Over
2026-05-07vs PHI7Over
2026-05-08vs BAL1Over
2026-05-09vs BAL1Over
2026-05-10vs BAL1Over
2026-05-13vs STL0Under
2026-05-14vs STL4Over
2026-05-14vs STL5Over
2026-05-16vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs SF1Over
2026-05-19vs LAA1Over
2026-05-20vs LAA6Over
2026-05-21vs LAA0Under
2026-05-22vs LAA0Under
2026-05-23vs SD2Over
2026-05-24vs SD0Under
2026-05-24vs SD0Under
2026-05-26vs SEA1Over
2026-05-27vs SEA2Over
2026-05-27vs SEA3Over
2026-05-30vs NYY2Over
2026-05-31vs NYY1Over
2026-05-31vs NYY2Over
2026-06-03vs CHC1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Zack Gelof’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.