EdgeTake

SS · DET

Zack Short — Runs

2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
13
Runs
3
Per Game
0.23
Projection
0.42
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Zack Short (DET) has averaged 0.23 runs per game across 13 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.2. The over on 0.5 has hit in 23% of games. Our model projects 0.42, below the market line of 0.5.

Next matchup

Next: vs SEA — their staff ranks 5 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 +209 DraftKingsUnder 0.5 -235 BetMGM

At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Zack Short went over in 3 of 13 2026 games.

Our projection 0.42 vs market line 0.5 — edge -0.08.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.53/1323%
1.50/130%

Share of 2026 games Short finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.20
Season avg
0.23

Over 0.5 in 2 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (4)
0.00
Away (9)
0.33
Home edge
-0.33

Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Runs

DateOppRunsvs Line
2026-05-04vs BOS0Under
2026-05-08vs KC0Under
2026-05-10vs KC1Over
2026-05-12vs NYM0Under
2026-05-13vs NYM0Under
2026-05-18vs CLE0Under
2026-05-19vs CLE0Under
2026-05-21vs CLE0Under
2026-05-23vs BAL0Under
2026-05-24vs BAL0Under
2026-05-29vs CWS1Over
2026-05-30vs CWS0Under
2026-06-02vs TB1Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Zack Short’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.