DH · TEX
Joc Pederson — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 57 games this season, Joc Pederson (TEX) is averaging 0.42 runs per game, trending up to 0.8 across the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 35% of those games. We project 0.56, ahead of the 0.5 market line.
Next: vs CLE — their staff ranks 7 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Joc Pederson went over in 20 of 57 2026 games.
Our projection 0.56 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.06.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 20/57 | 35% |
| 1.5 | 3/57 | 5% |
Share of 2026 games Pederson finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs CIN | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs LAD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs ATH | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-15 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-18 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-23 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PIT | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs ATH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-28 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-01 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-12 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs AZ | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-19 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs COL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-25 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-28 | vs HOU | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-29 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-30 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-01 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Joc Pederson’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.