EdgeTake

SS · ATL

Mauricio Dubón — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
57
Hits
52
Per Game
0.91
Projection
0.86
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Over 57 games this season, Mauricio Dubón (ATL) is averaging 0.91 hits per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.7. 61% of those games have finished over 0.5. Our projection of 0.86 comes in under the market line of 0.89.

Next matchup

Next: vs TOR — their staff ranks 10 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -225 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Mauricio Dubón went over in 35 of 57 2026 games.

Our projection 0.86 vs market line 0.89 — edge -0.03.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.535/5761%
1.513/5723%
2.54/577%

Share of 2026 games Dubón finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.70
Season avg
0.91

Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (26)
0.88
Away (31)
0.94
Home edge
-0.05

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-27vs KC1Over
2026-03-28vs KC0Under
2026-03-30vs ATH3Over
2026-03-31vs ATH2Over
2026-04-01vs ATH1Over
2026-04-03vs AZ2Over
2026-04-04vs AZ0Under
2026-04-04vs AZ1Over
2026-04-05vs AZ1Over
2026-04-07vs LAA1Over
2026-04-08vs LAA2Over
2026-04-08vs LAA1Over
2026-04-10vs CLE2Over
2026-04-11vs CLE0Under
2026-04-12vs CLE3Over
2026-04-13vs MIA0Under
2026-04-14vs MIA1Over
2026-04-15vs MIA1Over
2026-04-17vs PHI0Under
2026-04-18vs PHI1Over
2026-04-19vs PHI0Under
2026-04-21vs WSH2Over
2026-04-22vs WSH0Under
2026-04-23vs WSH0Under
2026-04-24vs PHI1Over
2026-04-25vs PHI0Under
2026-04-26vs PHI2Over
2026-04-28vs DET1Over
2026-04-29vs DET0Under
2026-04-30vs DET1Over
2026-05-02vs COL2Over
2026-05-03vs COL0Under
2026-05-03vs COL0Under
2026-05-05vs SEA0Under
2026-05-06vs SEA2Over
2026-05-06vs SEA1Over
2026-05-09vs LAD1Over
2026-05-10vs LAD2Over
2026-05-10vs LAD1Over
2026-05-12vs CHC0Under
2026-05-13vs CHC1Over
2026-05-14vs CHC0Under
2026-05-15vs BOS0Under
2026-05-16vs BOS0Under
2026-05-18vs MIA1Over
2026-05-19vs MIA3Over
2026-05-20vs MIA1Over
2026-05-21vs MIA1Over
2026-05-22vs WSH3Over
2026-05-23vs WSH0Under
2026-05-24vs WSH0Under
2026-05-26vs BOS1Over
2026-05-27vs BOS1Over
2026-05-28vs BOS0Under
2026-05-30vs CIN1Over
2026-05-31vs CIN0Under
2026-06-02vs TOR0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Mauricio Dubón’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.