SS · ATL
Mauricio Dubón — Total Bases
2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Over 57 games this season, Mauricio Dubón (ATL) is averaging 1.35 total bases per game, with the last 10 dipping to 0.8. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 35% of games this season. We project 1.27, short of the 1.58 market line.
Next: vs TOR — their staff ranks 10 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a tough matchup for hitters.
Under 1.5 -190 at Caesars — model 65% to hit, -0.7% EV.
At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Mauricio Dubón went over in 20 of 57 2026 games.
Our projection 1.27 vs market line 1.58 — edge -0.31.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 35/57 | 61% |
| 1.5 | 20/57 | 35% |
| 2.5 | 13/57 | 23% |
| 3.5 | 8/57 | 14% |
Share of 2026 games Dubón finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 1.5 in 1 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases
| Date | Opp | Total Bases | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs KC | 2 | Over |
| 2026-03-28 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs ATH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-31 | vs ATH | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-01 | vs ATH | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-03 | vs AZ | 5 | Over |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs AZ | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs AZ | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs LAA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-10 | vs CLE | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-11 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs CLE | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-13 | vs MIA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-14 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-17 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-19 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs WSH | 3 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-23 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-24 | vs PHI | 1 | Under |
| 2026-04-25 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs PHI | 4 | Over |
| 2026-04-28 | vs DET | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-29 | vs DET | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs DET | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs COL | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs COL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-06 | vs SEA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs LAD | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs LAD | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-12 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs CHC | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs CHC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-15 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-16 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-18 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs MIA | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-20 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs MIA | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs WSH | 4 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs WSH | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs BOS | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-28 | vs BOS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs CIN | 1 | Under |
| 2026-05-31 | vs CIN | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-02 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Mauricio Dubón’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.