1B · ATH
Nick Kurtz — Home Runs
2026 home runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nick Kurtz (ATH) has averaged 0.19 home runs per game across 59 games this season, with recent form ahead of that at 0.3 over the last 10. That 0.5 line has been cleared in 19% of games this season. Our projection of 0.26 comes in under the market line of 0.99.
Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (betonlineag), Nick Kurtz went over in 11 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 0.26 vs market line 0.99 — edge -0.73.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 11/59 | 19% |
Share of 2026 games Kurtz finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 3 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game home runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Home Runs
| Date | Opp | Home Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-07 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-09 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-12 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-26 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-08 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-10 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs STL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-14 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Kurtz’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.