1B · ATH
Nick Kurtz — Runs
2026 runs — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.
Nick Kurtz (ATH) sits at 0.68 runs per game through 59 games, while recent form sits lower at 0.6 over the last 10. They've gone over 0.5 in 49% of those games. Our projection of 0.74 sits above the market line of 0.5.
Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.
At a line of 0.5 (draftkings), Nick Kurtz went over in 29 of 59 2026 games.
Our projection 0.74 vs market line 0.5 — edge +0.24.
Hit rate at common lines
| Over | Cleared | Rate |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 29/59 | 49% |
| 1.5 | 9/59 | 15% |
Share of 2026 games Kurtz finished above each line.
Recent form
Over 0.5 in 5 of the last 10 games.
Home / away splits
Per-game runs at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.
Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.
2026 Game-by-Game — Runs
| Date | Opp | Runs | vs Line |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-27 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-28 | vs TOR | 3 | Over |
| 2026-03-29 | vs TOR | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-30 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-03-31 | vs ATL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-04 | vs HOU | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-05 | vs HOU | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-07 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-08 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-09 | vs NYY | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-10 | vs NYM | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-11 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-12 | vs NYM | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-14 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-15 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-16 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-18 | vs CWS | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-19 | vs CWS | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-21 | vs SEA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-22 | vs SEA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TEX | 2 | Over |
| 2026-04-25 | vs TEX | 1 | Over |
| 2026-04-26 | vs TEX | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-29 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs KC | 0 | Under |
| 2026-04-30 | vs KC | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-02 | vs CLE | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-03 | vs CLE | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-05 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-06 | vs PHI | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-07 | vs PHI | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-08 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-09 | vs BAL | 3 | Over |
| 2026-05-10 | vs BAL | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-13 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs STL | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-14 | vs STL | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-16 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SF | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-17 | vs SF | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-19 | vs LAA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-20 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-21 | vs LAA | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-22 | vs LAA | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-23 | vs SD | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-24 | vs SD | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-26 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-27 | vs SEA | 0 | Under |
| 2026-05-30 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs NYY | 2 | Over |
| 2026-05-31 | vs NYY | 1 | Over |
| 2026-06-03 | vs CHC | 1 | Over |
Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Kurtz’s full profile and methodology.
MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.