EdgeTake

1B · ATH

Nick Kurtz — Total Bases

2026 total bases — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
59
Total Bases
108
Per Game
1.83
Projection
2.11
Current Line
1.5
Outlook

Over 59 games this season, Nick Kurtz (ATH) is averaging 1.83 total bases per game, with recent form ahead of that at 2.3 over the last 10. That 1.5 line has been cleared in 47% of games this season. We project 2.11, ahead of the 1.45 market line.

Next matchup

Next: @ CHC — their staff ranks 17 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a average matchup for hitters.

Best price across books

Over 1.5 +115 at BetRivers — model 47% to hit, +1.5% EV.

Over 1.5 +115 BetRiversUnder 1.5 -125 Caesars

At a line of 1.5 (williamhill_us), Nick Kurtz went over in 28 of 59 2026 games.

Our projection 2.11 vs market line 1.45 — edge +0.66.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.540/5968%
1.528/5947%
2.518/5931%
3.514/5924%

Share of 2026 games Kurtz finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
2.30
Season avg
1.83

Over 1.5 in 7 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (28)
1.82
Away (31)
1.84
Home edge
-0.02

Per-game total bases at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Total Bases

DateOppTotal Basesvs Line
2026-03-27vs TOR0Under
2026-03-28vs TOR0Under
2026-03-29vs TOR1Under
2026-03-30vs ATL0Under
2026-03-31vs ATL0Under
2026-04-04vs HOU0Under
2026-04-04vs HOU1Under
2026-04-05vs HOU3Over
2026-04-07vs NYY2Over
2026-04-08vs NYY2Over
2026-04-09vs NYY2Over
2026-04-10vs NYM0Under
2026-04-11vs NYM0Under
2026-04-12vs NYM4Over
2026-04-14vs TEX0Under
2026-04-15vs TEX1Under
2026-04-16vs TEX0Under
2026-04-16vs TEX3Over
2026-04-18vs CWS1Under
2026-04-18vs CWS5Over
2026-04-19vs CWS0Under
2026-04-21vs SEA4Over
2026-04-22vs SEA1Under
2026-04-22vs SEA5Over
2026-04-25vs TEX5Over
2026-04-25vs TEX0Under
2026-04-26vs TEX1Under
2026-04-29vs KC0Under
2026-04-30vs KC3Over
2026-04-30vs KC2Over
2026-05-02vs CLE0Under
2026-05-02vs CLE2Over
2026-05-03vs CLE1Under
2026-05-05vs PHI1Under
2026-05-06vs PHI2Over
2026-05-07vs PHI1Under
2026-05-08vs BAL4Over
2026-05-09vs BAL4Over
2026-05-10vs BAL0Under
2026-05-13vs STL1Under
2026-05-14vs STL6Over
2026-05-14vs STL5Over
2026-05-16vs SF4Over
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-17vs SF0Under
2026-05-19vs LAA2Over
2026-05-20vs LAA4Over
2026-05-21vs LAA1Under
2026-05-22vs LAA1Under
2026-05-23vs SD2Over
2026-05-24vs SD2Over
2026-05-24vs SD2Over
2026-05-26vs SEA0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-27vs SEA0Under
2026-05-30vs NYY4Over
2026-05-31vs NYY6Over
2026-05-31vs NYY3Over
2026-06-03vs CHC4Over

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Nick Kurtz’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.