EdgeTake

RF · BOS

Wilyer Abreu — Hits

2026 hits — game-by-game log, hit rates at common lines, recent form, and our matchup-adjusted projection.

Games
58
Hits
63
Per Game
1.09
Projection
1.11
Current Line
0.5
Outlook

Wilyer Abreu (BOS) has averaged 1.09 hits per game across 58 games this season, though the last 10 have cooled to 0.9. They've gone over 0.5 in 66% of those games. We project 1.11, ahead of the 0.67 market line.

Next matchup

Next: vs BAL — their staff ranks 25 of 30 in runs allowed (1 = stingiest), a favorable matchup for hitters.

Best price across books
Over 0.5 -278 BetRivers

At a line of 0.5 (betrivers), Wilyer Abreu went over in 38 of 58 2026 games.

Our projection 1.11 vs market line 0.67 — edge +0.44.

Hit rate at common lines

OverClearedRate
0.538/5866%
1.521/5836%
2.54/587%

Share of 2026 games Abreu finished above each line.

Recent form

Last 10 avg
0.90
Season avg
1.09

Over 0.5 in 6 of the last 10 games.

Home / away splits

Home (29)
0.97
Away (29)
1.21
Home edge
-0.24

Per-game hits at home vs. on the road this season — ballpark and travel effects show up here.

Projection is our own model — adjusted for the next opponent’s pitching and ballpark.

2026 Game-by-Game — Hits

DateOppHitsvs Line
2026-03-26vs CIN1Over
2026-03-28vs CIN2Over
2026-03-29vs CIN3Over
2026-03-31vs HOU2Over
2026-04-01vs HOU0Under
2026-04-01vs HOU2Over
2026-04-03vs SD1Over
2026-04-04vs SD1Over
2026-04-05vs SD3Over
2026-04-06vs MIL1Over
2026-04-07vs MIL0Under
2026-04-08vs MIL2Over
2026-04-11vs STL2Over
2026-04-11vs STL0Under
2026-04-12vs STL0Under
2026-04-13vs MIN2Over
2026-04-14vs MIN0Under
2026-04-17vs DET0Under
2026-04-18vs DET1Over
2026-04-19vs DET1Over
2026-04-20vs DET0Under
2026-04-21vs NYY0Under
2026-04-22vs NYY1Over
2026-04-23vs NYY1Over
2026-04-24vs BAL2Over
2026-04-25vs BAL2Over
2026-04-26vs BAL1Over
2026-04-27vs TOR2Over
2026-04-28vs TOR0Under
2026-04-29vs TOR2Over
2026-05-01vs HOU0Under
2026-05-02vs HOU2Over
2026-05-03vs HOU0Under
2026-05-04vs DET1Over
2026-05-05vs DET3Over
2026-05-06vs DET0Under
2026-05-07vs TB1Over
2026-05-08vs TB1Over
2026-05-10vs TB0Under
2026-05-12vs PHI1Over
2026-05-13vs PHI3Over
2026-05-14vs PHI2Over
2026-05-15vs ATL0Under
2026-05-16vs ATL2Over
2026-05-17vs ATL0Under
2026-05-18vs KC0Under
2026-05-19vs KC2Over
2026-05-20vs KC1Over
2026-05-22vs MIN2Over
2026-05-23vs MIN0Under
2026-05-24vs MIN2Over
2026-05-26vs ATL0Under
2026-05-27vs ATL1Over
2026-05-28vs ATL1Over
2026-05-29vs CLE0Under
2026-05-30vs CLE1Over
2026-05-31vs CLE2Over
2026-06-02vs BAL0Under

Stats: MLB Stats API. Lines via The Odds API when available. See Wilyer Abreu’s full profile and methodology.

MLB data last updated . Stats refresh each morning; odds and projections refresh through the day.